Tag Archives: unemployment

Greed, Desperation and Power in Today’s Real Estate Market, but SUMMER is HERE!!

In the past week, reports are that Ben Bernanke announced the Federal reserve will slow it’s bond buying later this year to a gradual stop by next year that cause long term interest rates to be at record lows and unemployment is below the recent high of 10% in 2009-2010 and projected to hit 6.2% by 2015, thus signaling the end of rock bottom interest rates for 30 year Mortgages, at which time rates will start increasing.  They have actually started going up at this writing. In the meantime, as long as Bernanke can do the same thing Nik Wallenda did at the Grand Canyon through 2015 balancing inflation and unemployment, then all will be good.  The minor details of capturing the latest defector of espionage and avoid resulting consequences of this gaffe, then terrorist attacks or other world calamities are the only other issues to disrupt our financial system crème de la crème!!

buy homeThank you IRS for your controversial focus in coming down hard on political backed groups dividing Republicans and Democrats again, as a result of the groups that were backed by each party and now being rewarded with $70M in employee bonuses, wow!  Could this mess, once sorted out, cause a whiplash in the economy and the Real Estate markets, HELLO!! The White House could be accused ultimately of using this platform that paved the way for reelection and will hopefully weather this new storm and not be implicated for the whole mess to begin with! See this article.

Back to our Real Estate market in general, the San Diego region, along with Los Angeles and San Francisco- is now setting the precedent with consistent strength in the housing recovery for California.  In this report, it states: “The recovery is definitely broad based. The two composites showed the largest year-over-year gains in seven years. Atlanta, Las Vegas, Phoenix and San Francisco posted year-over-year gains of over 20% in April. San Francisco was the highest at 23.9%. Phoenix posted 12 consecutive months of double-digit growth. Recent economic data on home sales and inventories confirm the housing recovery’s strength. Los Angeles, San Diego and San Francisco posted their highest gains since 2004, 1988 and 1987, respectively. The article states more Shocking News:  As of April 2013, average home prices across the United States are back to their early 2004 levels for both the 10-City and 20-City Composites. Measured from their June/July 2006 peaks, the peak-to-current decline for both Composites is approximately 26-27%. The recovery from the March 2012 lows is 13.1% and 13.6%, respectively.

San Diego is far from the 2004-2006 levels in value, however the upswing trend is not farfetched, will continue and possibly reach those levels by 2015.  This is absolutely a POSSIBILITY and at the same time it is a huge GAMBLE.  As a seller, you ask yourself: do I continue to hold out for values to go higher, while interest rates are going up or do I pull the trigger now and avoid another crash, also expected to come again, by selling now?  While you’re thinking, does the thought of GREED cross your mind as well? Selling now is more optimum, obviously considering interest rates are starting to creep up now, so your purchase of a new home will be manageable with a great interest rate.  A Listing agent to represent you with creative ways to leverage your bottom line is optimum.

For the buyers, does this market cause you to be in a mindset of desperation because of no inventory?  Aligning yourself with an experienced Buyer agent who can maneuver through the mind fields to secure your property in a very limited inventory market is optimum.  “All cash” buyers are still KING and have the most POWER, while being set up to be protected for a future inevitable crash as our cycle takes its normal course.  

Thanks for reading, Happy 4th of July, AND God BLESS America!!

Mortgage Delinquencies Expected to Drop

FICO’s quarterly survey of bank risk professionals found a reversal in the sentiment of U.S. lenders, with expectations for loan repayments more upbeat in the first quarter of 2012 than they had been during the previous quarter.

The survey, conducted for Minneapolis-based FICO by the Professional Risk Managers’ International Association (PRMIA), found fewer lenders anticipating a rise in delinquencies on home loans than at any time since FICO launched its survey in early 2010.

In the latest survey, the number of respondents expecting mortgage delinquencies to increase over the next six months was 12 percentage points lower than last quarter – dropping from 47 to 35 percent…

Read the rest of this article by DSNews.com here: “Lenders’ Risk Managers Expect Mortgage Delinquencies to Drop“.

Unemployment Rate Falls to 8.5%

The nation’s unemployment rate continues to trend down. It slipped to 8.5 percent during the month of December as the economy added 200,000 new jobs, the U.S. Department of Labor said Friday morning.

The reported rate is down from 8.6 percent in November. The change in total nonfarm payroll employment for November was revised downward from +120,000 to +100,000. October’s data was revised upward from +100,000 to +112,000.

December’s results were better than expected, with the consensus forecast among analysts looking for the rate to inch up to 8.7 percent and net job growth over the month to tally 150,000.

December marks the sixth consecutive month of 100,000-plus job gains and the first such stretch employers have been able to string together since 2006.

The number of long-term unemployed – those jobless for 27 weeks or more – was little changed in December at 5.6 million and accounted for 42.5 percent of the unemployed.

The unemployment rate has declined by 0.6 percentage point since August, according to the Labor Department. At 8.5 percent, the rate ended 2011 at its lowest level in nearly three years.

Over the 2011 calendar year, nonfarm payroll employment rose by 1.6 million, up sharply from the 940,000 jobs added in 2010.

Employment in the private sector rose by 212,000 in December and by 1.9 million over the year.

Government employment changed little over the month but fell by 280,000 over the year.

The national unemployment rate averaged 8.9 percent in 2011, compared to 9.6 percent in 2010.

This article is from DSNews.com: “Unemployment Rate Falls to 8.5%“.

Is it a “Happy New Year” for the Housing Market?

Goodbye 2011 & Hello 2012! Is this a Happy New Year?

Is it goodbye to a bad year or hello to the same?  While the economy is still struggling, unemployment slightly better, and real estate showing signs of improvement only to retract its position, I believe the glass is still half full, with an asterisk.

What's in store for 2012's housing market?The holiday season began strong on Thanksgiving weekend, reports are that retailers numbers receded which led to heavy markdowns the week of Christmas. Final numbers are still to come, while job growth is modest, mostly in low-paying sectors like retail and hospitality. This past year also saw an increase in credit card spending for gifts as a result of higher gasoline, food prices, and general inflation.

With mortgage rates still at historic low rates, the housing industry is still struggling with values dropping, even though sales have shown signs of recovery. With more than one in every five borrower still owing more than their home is worth, many homeowners are too pressed to spend on much more than the essentials which leave us to the big question: WHAT SHOULD I DO?

With all predictions expecting more of the same this year as last, there is still and always will be optimism, but each homeowner out there who is still upside-down, either waiting for or in a modification, is so far upside down that they most likely will never recoup the past negative equity in the future.  They are at the same time struggling to make ends meet with just the essentials. Mortgage companies and investors are still holding the belt tight and are not reducing principle for most people waiting for  modifications or who have them–leaving homeowners to finally make that decision that enough is enough.

There are opportunities to purchase and leave your upside-down home, but you would need to act fast. Other opportunities are also available and action now will help you live a life more care-free and stress-free in a fast-paced, ever-uncertain economic time.

Call me now and let’s talk. My direct line of contact is 619-890-3648.

God Bless

9 Reasons to be Optimistic About Housing

housing marketThere’s a lot of negative information and news about the real estate market, but not to worry–there is a brighter side to housing! In fact, there are nine reasons to be optimistic!

There’s been a lot of positive signs for a housing (and broader economic recovery) coming out lately. Here are nine reasons we might be looking at a better 2012 than 2011 in the residential construction market:

  1. Unemployment dropped to its lowest point since 20092. Pending home sales up 10.3 percent in October
  2. Pending sales up 10.2 percent in October
  3. Housing affordability at record levels
  4. Consumer confidence up heading into year-end
  5. Existing home sales make surprising October jump
  6. Residential construction spending up 3.4 percent
  7. Construction industry adds most jobs since 2006
  8. Builder confidence at 18-month high
  9. Single-family starts increased in October

Read the article in full at HousingZone.com: “9 Reasons to be Optimistic About Housing“.

Mortgage aid open to more Calif. borrowers

A state-run program that helps homeowners struggling to pay their mortgages now has broader eligibility guidelines, opening up help to borrowers who did “cash-out” refinances and own multiple properties, said California Housing Finance Agency officials on Monday.

The mortgage-aid effort, called Keep Your Home California, so far has helped close to 8,000 low- and moderate-income households that are behind on loan payments or close to default, according to agency leaders.

Keep Your Home California“This expanded eligibility will allow more families to qualify and receive greater assistance,” said California Housing Finance Agency Executive Director Claudia Cappio, in a statement. “We are continuously evaluating our experience so far and making adjustments like these based on the initial results of the Keep Your Home California program.”

Keep Your Home California has four parts that include: mortgage help for the unemployed, mortgage aid for homeowners with documented financial hardship, relocation help for those in the midst of a short sale or deed-in-lieu of foreclosure, and reduction of principal. The programs, paid for by the U.S. Treasury Department’s Hardest Hit Fund, is costing taxpayers $2 billion.

Monday’s announced changes include:

–Allowing homeowners who completed “cash-out” mortgage refinancing to take part in the four programs. Such borrowers were excluded before.

–Allowing borrowers who own more than one property to apply. Program officials said this will be particularly helpful to those who co-signed on properties for family members.

–Offering mortgage aid to unemployed borrowers for nine months, instead of six. Such homeowners can get up to $3,000 a month. To qualify, you must receive unemployment benefits.

–Reinstating up to $20,000 in past-due mortgage payments instead of the previous $15,000 cap.

To qualify, your mortgage servicer must take part in Keep Your Home California. Click here for the list of servicers.

Info: Call 888-954-KEEP(5337) between 7 a.m. and 7 p.m. Monday through Friday, and 9 a.m. to 3 p.m. on Saturdays. Visit: www.KeepYourHomeCalifornia.org or www.ConservaTuCasaCalifornia.org.

This article is from SignOnSanDiego: “Mortgage Aid Open to More Calif. Borrowers.”